Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Israeli Security

In the past few weeks there have been several clashes between Iran and Israel, which seem to only be increasing tensions in the region. Giving a background of these issues would be a good idea before I delve into talking about analysis and international repercussions. On Saturday October 6, 2012 a drone entered Israeli airspace and was downed by the Israeli military. It was claimed by the government that this drone was a drone from Iran who was targeting Israeli bases. Iran claims no ownership to this drone that was launched by the Lebanese Hezbollah movement because they are stating that they have more sophisticated technology than the drone that was shot down. There are two article links below that explain further on the topic.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/28/iran-drone-israel_n_2034381.html#slide=1631287

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/29/iran-drone-photos-israel-bases_n_2038168.html

The second issue of contention between Israel and Iran in the past few weeks is a claim that Israel in an air strike blew up an Iranian arms factory in Sudan on October 23, 2012. This supposed claim comes at an interesting time because this factory has been known to support the Hamas through Iran and at the time Israeli forces were/are fighting with the Hamas in Gaza. Israel and the United States both regard Sudan as a terrorist-sponsoring state and Israel flat views Sudan as an enemy because of their direct coordination with Iran.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/rebecca-tinsley/sudan-yarmouk-compound-_b_2029808.html
(I'm fully aware of how much I love Huffington Post and use them a a reference)
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2012/10/25/sudan-blames-israel-for-strike-on-munitions-plant-promises-retaliation/


These events have several repercussions for Israel and in the grand scheme the international politics of this region. The second issue is easier to look at the consequences of the action. Israel has been coy to deny or accept involvement in this air strike. However Arab countries are still looking to find the terms in which to condemn Israel for their supposed involvement. Iran has promised retaliation towards Israel, this could have dire consequences for the world. Iran's government has openly voiced their disdain for the Israel state and has stated goals to destroy the country. This air strike by Israel could be the spring board Iran was looking for. With the added tension from striking down a drone that has ties to Iran relations between the two countries are reaching a pivotal point. I am curious to see how Iran will respond or whether it actually will because Iran knows that Israel is backed by the United States. Is mutually assured destruction enough to sway Iran's agenda away from destroying Israel. Personally I don't think Iran will make a move, I feel as though there is much talk however no action. I hope that whoever the next President might be, they will look into establishing relations with Iran, because I firmly believe that Diplomacy not force is going to be the best way to solve these problems.












picture from: http://www.google.com/imgres?um=1&hl=en&sa=N&biw=1517&bih=714&tbm=isch&tbnid=JJYCIU0daeIDSM:&imgrefurl=http://distortedmedia.blogspot.com/2012/01/real-truth-about-iran-and-us-relations.html&docid=uOgZfxRYXnHqvM&imgurl=https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgH1nZY0Ny_Xwr4KjU1F4klC8geDHLuKtoqohwyemOeGBBgF8bOYcs_tDBIPPYynHbuvcFF2Oz9CvkNpAww9dW4DDeF2ITqKdzq_1dIcml9kIK_v-canS6WRF_Umb4xK6lDzJoEMXz7YQg/s1600/pic.jpg&w=482&h=300&ei=j1WQUPvpEoK_0AH7t4DYBA&zoom=1&iact=hc&vpx=190&vpy=128&dur=1&hovh=176&hovw=285&tx=152&ty=84&sig=116686464983634084211&page=1&tbnh=138&tbnw=225&start=0&ndsp=26&ved=1t:429,i:137

1 comment:

  1. The game of cat and mouse between Iran and Israel seems to never end. You are right to highlight the significance of Israeli involvement in the strike on Khartoum. However, I would not be too quick to dismiss Iranian retaliation. Iran and Israel have been doing this dance for a long time. The tit for tat attacks and responses often take the form of assassinations, covert action, and proxy warfare.

    Interestingly, it appears that Israel may be trying to cool the situation prior to Iranian retaliation. Today, Ehud Barak, Israel's defense minister, announced that Israel believes Iran may have delayed plans to build a nuclear bomb. Do you think this can be interpreted as an attempt to back-step from a military confrontation? (The link to Barak story is below).

    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/31/world/middleeast/israel-says-iran-has-postponed-nuclear-ambitions.html?ref=middleeast

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